RC
Ready Capital Corp (RC)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 printed a GAAP loss of $(1.90) per share (continuing ops $(1.80)) as RC took aggressive credit actions; distributable EPS was $(0.03), but distributable EPS before realized losses was $0.23 (7.1% ROE), reflecting underlying earnings capacity before asset sale losses .
- Book value per share fell to $10.61 (from $12.59 in Q3) as management fully reserved 100% of non‑performing CRE loans (CECL + valuation actions), “setting the bottom” and positioning for NIM recovery; buybacks added +$0.18 to BVPS in Q4 .
- Dividend reset to $0.125 per share for Q1 2025 to align with cash earnings and capital preservation; management expects ~1.5x dividend coverage over 2025 as non‑core liquidation, CLO reissues, SBA/USDA growth, and UDF IV accretion ramp .
- Catalyst focus: decisive balance-sheet reset (reserves), dividend cut, non‑core liquidation plan (including Portland mixed‑use), liability management (collapsing/reissuing CLOs), and announced UDF IV acquisition with expected EPS/ROE accretion .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Small Business Lending (SBL) remained a bright spot: Q4 SBL originations were $348M including $315M of SBA 7(a), with gain-on-sale premiums supporting revenue; management highlighted SBL as an outsized ROE contributor relative to capital used .
- Liquidity and capital actions: issued $130M 9.00% senior notes due 2029 in Dec (RCD) and closed $220M TRS 9.375% notes in Feb 2025; announced new $150M buyback authorization; buybacks of 5.8M shares at $7.35 in Q4 added $0.18 to BVPS .
- Transparent portfolio bifurcation and resolution roadmap: core vs non‑core split, serial disposition plan for Portland (Ritz-Carlton) asset, and targeted 2025-26 CRE origination ramp to restore NIM and ROE .
- Quotes: “We have taken decisive actions to stabilize and better position our balance sheet… fully reserving for all of our non‑performing loans in our CRE portfolio” . “These actions will establish the bottom for both book value per share and the dividend” .
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What Went Wrong
- Credit costs/NPLs drove the quarter: $285.0M provision for loan losses (combined CECL and valuation allowances up $277.3M), leading to net loss from continuing ops of $(297.5)M and GAAP EPS (cont. ops) of $(1.80) .
- Book value compression: BVPS fell to $10.61 (from $12.59), reflecting reserve build and realized/unrealized losses despite buyback support .
- Dividend cut: common dividend reduced to $0.125 for Q1 2025 from $0.25 in Q4, underscoring near‑term cash-earnings pressure during non‑core liquidation; Portland mixed‑use asset reduces quarterly run‑rate by ~$0.11 per share near term until stabilization/disposition .
Financial Results
Segment results (Q4 2024):
Key KPIs and trajectory:
Notes: Distributable EPS figures exclude or include realized losses as specified; management emphasizes distributable earnings as a key dividend input .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategy reset: “Entering 2025, we have taken decisive actions… fully reserving for all of our non‑performing loans… We believe these actions will enable the Company to resume growth in both book value per share and the dividend as we move forward.” — CEO Thomas Capasse .
- Portfolio bifurcation and NIM path: “This bifurcation… aggressive liquidation of the 3.1% cash yield non‑core book and reinvestment… into 15%+ ROE core loans, providing a path to recovery in NIM.” — CEO .
- Dividend policy: “Reduction of the dividend to $0.125… to better align… with projected cash earnings… and to preserve book value… It will be our expectation to grow the dividend from this new level with improved earnings.” — CEO .
- Outlook components: Non‑core liquidation (+$0.18/sh), Portland serial disposition (+$0.31/sh), CLO reissues (+$0.05/sh), SBA ($1.5B; +$0.05/sh), USDA (+$0.05/sh), UDF IV (+17%/sh) .
Q&A Highlights
- Dividend coverage and earnings cadence: Q1’25 likely the trough as non‑core moves to cash basis; expect ~1.5x coverage of the $0.125 dividend over 2025 with OpEx savings, SBA/USDA ramp, UDF IV accretion .
- UDF IV rationale: Accretive basis, seasoned DFW land-lending assets; fully performing with maturities through 2028; management cites strong underwriting history and project familiarity .
- Reserves and risk: Reserves ring‑fence known problem assets; core portfolio exhibits stronger metrics (DY ~9.7% vs ~8–9% refi threshold), supporting take‑out prospects .
- SBA credit: SBL 60+ delinquency ~2.8%, stable; largest exposures in smaller‑market limited service lodging with resilient performance .
- Debt maturities: Plan to address 2026 maturities via market access and cash flows; recent TRS secured notes refinance near‑term 2025/26 maturities .
- Buybacks: Will be active but paced by liquidity from CLO calls and non‑core sales; maintaining higher cash levels given environment .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q4 2024 EPS and revenue was not retrievable at the time of this analysis due to an S&P Global daily request limit; therefore, explicit “vs. estimates” comparisons are not shown here. We attempted to pull “Primary EPS Consensus Mean” and “Revenue Consensus Mean” for Q4 2024 but could not obtain values due to rate limits.
- Implications for models: Consider lowering near‑term GAAP/DE on (i) NPLs on cash accounting, (ii) Portland run‑rate drag, and (iii) timing of non‑core liquidations; raise out‑quarters for CLO cost reductions, SBA/USDA growth, and UDF IV accretion per management’s quantified bridges .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- The quarter was a deliberate “reset”: significant reserve build and dividend cut should compress near‑term earnings but improve visibility and speed of balance‑sheet repair and NIM recovery .
- Core vs non‑core lens matters: core book (83% of CRE) shows stronger metrics and is the engine for ROE normalization; non‑core liquidation is the key bridge to 2026 .
- Multiple self‑help levers are in motion: non‑core liquidations, Portland serial exits, CLO calls/re‑issues, SBA/USDA scaling, and UDF IV accretion are each quantified and time‑phased .
- Capital discipline remains central: dividend reset, opportunistic buybacks ($150M authorization), and term financing activity support BVPS and liquidity through the cycle .
- Watchlist items: pace and pricing of non‑core sales; stabilization milestones for Portland; CLO reissue economics; SBA premium trends and warehouse capacity approvals; UDF IV close and accretion timing .
- Setup into 2025/26: Near‑term earnings trough likely in Q1’25 with a path to higher coverage later in 2025; full benefits from non‑core/Portland resolution targeted into 2026 .
Additional Q4/Q3/Q2 items and disclosures:
- Q4 headline figures include: GAAP net loss $(314.8)M; interest income $203.97M; provision $(285.01)M; total non‑interest income $27.00M; non‑interest expense $(106.89)M .
- Q3 snapshot for trend: GAAP EPS $(0.07); DE $(0.28); DE before realized losses $0.25; BVPS $12.59; record SBL originations $440M (SBA 7(a) $355M) .
- Q2 snapshot for trend: GAAP EPS $(0.21); DE $0.07; DE before realized losses $0.19; BVPS $12.97; SBA 7(a) originations $217M .
Sources: Company 8‑K/press release and supplemental for Q4 2024 and prior quarters, and Q4 2024 earnings call transcript .